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Amitav Krishna's avatar
Lyman Stone's avatar

FWIW tye sperm count decline thing is wrong; there’s been no change in sperm count

Performative Bafflement's avatar

All great points. Regarding your "divorced dads are more appealing" point:

This is slightly complicated by the fact that marriage is culturally a bad deal for exactly the men who are most appealing re age gaps - ie men with good careers and / or wealth. A lot of men in that situation don't want to risk losing half their stuff in an environment where prenups are frequently invalidated for bad reasons (if they have a good lawyer, gross inequality - totally subjective, changed circumstances - again subjective, or because you left out something dumb like a 401k account from 3 jobs ago), where the "base failure" rate is around 50%, and where 70% of divorces are initiated by women.

And on the other end, men who have been divorced once are substantially more likely than baseline to get divorced again, so should be LESS appealing to women (although many people are unaware of this fact).

I have a post coming out later today with some interesting data that argues that age gap relationships are probably a good idea both individually and societally, even though frequently condemned by women (but this is strictly a "publicly condemn, but remain open yourself" sort of deal, as 39% of women have dated with an age gap of at least 10 years before).

I'll link a preview link to the draft here if you're interested: https://performativebafflement.substack.com/p/2efb9a25-fe59-490f-8ef8-b6ae70f82dbe

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